Final Preseason Adjustments
I’ve adjusted some quarterback rankings. Matt Ryan moves into the 6 spot and into the same tier as the brothers Manning. Whichever of those three you can get the latest would be the best target in my opinion but Tony Romo will look better once he has a full arsenal of skill position players back. Apparently it’s unlikely that Jason Witten will play week 1 but Miles Austin says he’ll be ready. If the offensive line in Dallas doesn’t scare you– Romo would most likely be the QB you should target and get later than our third tier.
Michael Vick has moved down to the fourth tier along with Romo. Vick is falling in drafts as of late for obvious reasons. He’s appeared in two preseason games and been injured in both. If you can get Michael Vick in the 6th round (the latest I’ve seen him go) that certainly qualifies as a play to win move– just be sure to get yourself a safer backup option like Jay Cutler sooner rather than later.
Speaking of backup options, if you’ve got a relatively safe starting QB, I’m all for taking a shot at a high-upside backup like RGIII or Russell Wilson– but don’t go overboard drafting these guys. I’ve recommended Bob-Grif as a backup for Cutler in back to back rounds if you waited too long on your previous target but I wouldn’t want you to go BobGrif-Russell unless you’re prepared to endure some struggles that could certainly happen. Russell Wilson has looked amazing but he’s been going before Cutler in some drafts lately and that’s going a little overboard in my opinion.
As of now, the draft plan is still holding up pretty well– but let me reiterate some targets for rounds 4 and beyond.
Round 4: Marques Colston, Doug Martin, Ryan Mathews, Willis McGahee, Antonio Gates
Round 5: Percy Harvin, Eric Decker, Antonio Brown, Demaryius Thomas, Aaron Hernandez
Round 6: Torrey Smith, Jermichael Finley, Donald Brown, Matt Ryan/Peyton Manning/Eli Manning/Michael Vick (if any of them are here at this spot that’s pretty damn good value)
Round 7: Denarius Moore, Reggie Wayne, Peyton Hillis, Ryan Williams (this qualifies as a spot where you will be guaranteed to get him Williams– you can probably get him later but he’s listed here to let you know to not get too cute and miss him)
Round 8: Danny Amendola (PPR stud), Rashad Jennings, David Wilson, Jay Cutler
Round 9: Titus Young, Nate Washington, Mikel LeShoure (early but he’s been looking better despite suspension), Robert Griffin III
Round 10: Malcolm Floyd, Kendall Wright, Russell Wilson (early for Wilson but if you want to be sure to get him take him here)
Round 11: Greg Little, Justin Blackmon (Gabbert looking decent– can’t believe I just typed that.)
Round 12: Andrew Luck, Jake Locker (also high upside backups)
Round 13: Kyle Rudolph (MN drafts probably have to take him by now if they want him)
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